Table 3-3. Rates (%) of 1-year (i.e., Wave 2 past year) and 3-year (i.e., Wave 1 to Wave 2) first incidence of selected DSM-IV psychiatric disorders, by sex and age group, according to past-year status of exceeding daily and weekly low-risk drinking limits at Wave 1 among Wave 1 current drinkers.

Table 3-3. Rates (%) of 1‑year (i.e., Wave 2 past year) and 3‑year (i.e., Wave 1 to Wave 2) first incidence of selected DSM‑IV psychiatric disorders, by sex and age group, according to Wave 1 past‑year status of exceeding daily and weekly low-risk drinking limits1 among Wave 1 current drinkers.2

Wave 1 past‑year status of exceeding
daily and weekly low-risk drinking limits
and first incidence rates of psychiatric disorders

Both sexes

Sex

Age group at Wave 1

Estimate

S.E.

Male

Female

18–24 years

25–44 years

45–64 years

65 years and older

Estimate

S.E.

Estimate

S.E.

Estimate

S.E.

Estimate

S.E.

Estimate

S.E.

Estimate

S.E.

Did not exceed drinking limits

1‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

1.60

0.15

2.22

0.30

1.16

0.13

6.22

0.95

1.71

0.24

0.77

0.16

*0.33

0.20

Alcohol abuse

1.00

0.13

1.54

0.26

0.61

0.10

4.05

0.80

1.09

0.19

0.35

0.12

*0.21

0.19

Alcohol dependence

1.18

0.11

1.57

0.21

0.85

0.11

5.13

0.75

1.25

0.20

0.59

0.13

*0.10

0.07

Nicotine dependence

3.87

0.26

4.49

0.36

3.31

0.36

6.54

1.15

4.02

0.39

4.02

0.41

1.83

0.32

Any drug use disorder

0.32

0.06

0.22

0.07

0.40

0.10

1.58

0.45

0.35

0.13

*0.12

0.05

—

Any drug abuse

0.29

0.06

*0.19

0.07

0.38

0.10

1.44

0.45

0.35

0.12

*0.08

0.04

—

Any drug dependence

0.29

0.07

0.41

0.12

0.18

0.08

1.78

0.57

*0.22

0.11

*0.10

0.05

—

Any mood disorder

2.32

0.17

1.34

0.17

3.36

0.31

5.09

0.87

2.56

0.28

1.73

0.25

1.63

0.32

Major depressive disorder

1.67

0.14

0.87

0.14

2.49

0.26

3.11

0.63

1.68

0.24

1.43

0.22

1.35

0.29

Bipolar I

0.46

0.06

0.38

0.09

0.54

0.10

1.19

0.41

0.58

0.13

0.24

0.07

*0.29

0.13

Bipolar II

0.22

0.05

*0.12

0.05

0.32

0.07

*0.81

0.32

0.31

0.08

*0.07

0.04

*0.02

0.02

Any anxiety disorder

1.45

0.13

0.93

0.16

2.01

0.23

1.36

0.36

2.24

0.26

1.17

0.22

*0.34

0.13

Any panic disorder

0.60

0.08

0.30

0.09

0.88

0.13

0.88

0.28

0.75

0.15

0.61

0.14

*0.08

0.06

Panic without agoraphobia

0.53

0.08

0.26

0.08

0.77

0.13

0.79

0.27

0.67

0.14

0.51

0.12

*0.08

0.06

Panic with agoraphobia

0.06

0.02

*0.04

0.03

*0.09

0.03

*0.07

0.05

*0.06

0.03

*0.09

0.05

—

Social phobia

0.22

0.05

0.20

0.08

0.24

0.08

*0.24

0.13

0.24

0.08

0.27

0.11

*0.06

0.04

Specific phobia

0.43

0.07

0.32

0.08

0.54

0.10

*0.34

0.19

0.64

0.14

0.42

0.12

*0.03

0.03

Generalized anxiety

1.05

0.10

0.62

0.12

1.45

0.17

1.14

0.36

1.59

0.22

0.74

0.15

*0.38

0.14

3‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

5.19

0.28

7.54

0.54

3.47

0.28

16.85

1.46

5.33

0.46

3.21

0.33

1.30

0.32

Alcohol abuse

4.27

0.26

6.65

0.49

2.53

0.26

13.10

1.40

4.44

0.42

2.71

0.31

1.24

0.31

Alcohol dependence

2.21

0.15

2.82

0.27

1.69

0.17

9.82

1.02

2.20

0.27

1.05

0.17

*0.28

0.14

Nicotine dependence

5.87

0.32

6.84

0.48

5.01

0.39

9.89

1.30

6.20

0.46

5.95

0.56

2.82

0.39

Any drug use disorder

1.40

0.14

1.75

0.24

1.10

0.14

5.59

0.89

1.46

0.23

0.77

0.20

*0.25

0.12

Any drug abuse

1.36

0.14

1.67

0.23

1.09

0.14

5.46

0.88

1.42

0.23

0.74

0.21

*0.25

0.12

Any drug dependence

0.55

0.09

0.70

0.14

0.43

0.10

2.74

0.68

0.52

0.14

0.25

0.08

*0.01

0.01

Any mood disorder

6.66

0.28

3.77

0.31

9.59

0.47

12.70

1.22

7.18

0.46

5.92

0.46

3.94

0.45

Major depressive disorder

4.97

0.25

2.55

0.26

7.39

0.41

7.47

0.89

5.15

0.42

4.80

0.42

3.57

0.43

Bipolar I

1.47

0.11

1.07

0.15

1.83

0.18

3.75

0.68

1.81

0.20

1.00

0.15

*0.43

0.16

Bipolar II

0.59

0.07

0.36

0.09

0.80

0.12

2.04

0.47

0.75

0.13

0.29

0.10

*0.03

0.02

Any anxiety disorder

6.09

0.28

4.30

0.39

7.90

0.46

9.20

1.07

7.50

0.46

5.77

0.48

1.85

0.30

Any panic disorder

1.64

0.12

0.83

0.16

2.40

0.20

2.81

0.55

2.13

0.23

1.36

0.20

*0.42

0.16

Panic without agoraphobia

1.34

0.11

0.68

0.15

1.96

0.18

2.19

0.48

1.85

0.22

1.07

0.17

*0.26

0.11

Panic with agoraphobia

0.27

0.05

*0.14

0.05

0.39

0.09

*0.58

0.26

0.25

0.07

0.27

0.10

*0.15

0.11

Social phobia

1.35

0.13

1.05

0.16

1.61

0.19

2.30

0.56

1.62

0.21

1.28

0.25

*0.30

0.11

Specific phobia

2.18

0.16

1.79

0.25

2.55

0.24

3.71

0.75

2.55

0.26

2.10

0.24

0.65

0.19

Generalized anxiety

3.07

0.17

1.83

0.21

4.22

0.29

3.33

0.63

3.89

0.33

2.96

0.30

1.28

0.27

Exceeded daily but not weekly drinking limits

1‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

4.58

0.54

6.09

0.94

3.13

0.53

10.95

1.93

3.10

0.54

1.75

0.68

*1.22

0.97

Alcohol abuse

2.89

0.43

3.29

0.71

2.49

0.48

6.27

1.31

2.15

0.45

*1.20

0.48

—

Alcohol dependence

3.84

0.38

4.54

0.55

2.92

0.46

7.23

1.14

3.51

0.56

1.85

0.44

*2.44

1.40

Nicotine dependence

6.25

0.46

6.30

0.59

6.18

0.76

9.85

1.23

5.26

0.61

5.74

0.85

*3.07

1.65

Any drug use disorder

0.52

0.13

0.69

0.21

*0.29

0.12

1.95

0.58

*0.23

0.11

*0.08

0.06

—

Any drug abuse

0.51

0.13

0.67

0.20

*0.29

0.12

1.92

0.58

*0.23

0.11

*0.06

0.06

—

Any drug dependence

0.47

0.12

0.66

0.20

*0.19

0.10

1.22

0.37

*0.10

0.05

*0.78

0.45

—

Any mood disorder

2.34

0.27

1.67

0.28

3.60

0.55

2.52

0.62

2.71

0.41

1.26

0.35

*2.52

1.69

Major depressive disorder

1.50

0.20

1.09

0.22

2.23

0.40

1.60

0.47

1.66

0.28

0.86

0.30

*2.49

1.67

Bipolar I

0.66

0.12

0.51

0.15

0.88

0.23

*0.77

0.29

0.75

0.20

*0.39

0.17

—

Bipolar II

0.16

0.07

*0.06

0.04

*0.31

0.16

—

*0.23

0.12

*0.06

0.04

*0.89

0.88

Any anxiety disorder

1.85

0.23

1.44

0.27

2.61

0.40

1.56

0.49

2.35

0.35

1.04

0.44

*0.31

0.31

Any panic disorder

0.86

0.16

0.59

0.18

1.28

0.30

*0.88

0.34

1.06

0.24

*0.45

0.25

—

Panic without agoraphobia

0.63

0.12

0.43

0.14

0.93

0.21

*0.67

0.30

0.71

0.16

*0.44

0.24

—

Panic with agoraphobia

*0.21

0.08

*0.15

0.09

*0.30

0.16

*0.19

0.13

*0.31

0.14

—

Social phobia

0.38

0.11

*0.33

0.14

0.47

0.17

*0.22

0.22

0.58

0.17

*0.05

0.05

*0.27

0.27

Specific phobia

0.48

0.11

*0.34

0.12

0.70

0.23

*0.50

0.30

0.55

0.15

*0.31

0.23

—

Generalized anxiety

1.33

0.17

0.91

0.19

1.99

0.32

*0.87

0.34

1.74

0.27

0.88

0.29

—

3‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

15.08

0.88

19.72

1.43

10.25

1.00

26.98

2.46

11.69

1.09

10.63

1.71

*3.78

1.71

Alcohol abuse

13.33

0.78

16.17

1.25

10.33

0.97

22.18

2.01

10.91

0.95

9.54

1.59

*2.54

1.42

Alcohol dependence

7.19

0.51

8.55

0.73

5.39

0.65

12.79

1.44

6.52

0.75

4.29

0.69

*3.03

1.49

Nicotine dependence

9.87

0.55

10.20

0.77

9.37

0.88

14.13

1.42

8.88

0.75

8.78

1.26

*5.96

2.20

Any drug use disorder

3.72

0.38

3.93

0.50

3.42

0.60

9.16

1.18

2.97

0.49

1.11

0.41

—

Any drug abuse

3.61

0.37

3.85

0.49

3.27

0.57

9.00

1.19

2.88

0.49

0.98

0.40

—

Any drug dependence

1.55

0.24

1.74

0.31

1.26

0.42

3.29

0.67

1.11

0.31

1.21

0.52

—

Any mood disorder

7.30

0.47

5.76

0.55

10.11

0.82

8.26

1.07

7.98

0.70

5.16

0.80

*3.47

1.81

Major depressive disorder

4.52

0.34

3.40

0.38

6.47

0.61

5.17

0.84

4.77

0.49

3.36

0.60

*3.43

1.78

Bipolar I

2.47

0.30

2.21

0.39

2.84

0.43

2.48

0.52

2.78

0.41

1.82

0.49

*0.93

0.93

Bipolar II

0.87

0.15

0.74

0.20

1.06

0.24

1.51

0.46

0.79

0.19

*0.39

0.24

*1.37

1.00

Any anxiety disorder

7.38

0.46

5.52

0.55

10.65

0.84

8.35

1.10

7.75

0.60

6.14

0.95

*1.98

1.28

Any panic disorder

2.45

0.32

1.66

0.34

3.67

0.53

3.10

0.68

2.49

0.40

1.88

0.58

*0.94

0.67

Panic without agoraphobia

1.93

0.29

1.18

0.28

3.10

0.48

2.60

0.64

1.76

0.31

1.86

0.57

*0.93

0.66

Panic with agoraphobia

0.47

0.13

0.45

0.16

0.49

0.19

*0.45

0.19

0.68

0.22

—

Social phobia

1.63

0.18

1.38

0.23

2.01

0.31

2.16

0.50

1.77

0.25

0.94

0.29

*0.27

0.27

Specific phobia

2.75

0.26

2.01

0.30

3.96

0.51

3.24

0.65

2.46

0.31

3.34

0.69

—

Generalized anxiety

3.64

0.29

2.37

0.32

5.62

0.56

3.50

0.66

4.35

0.44

2.28

0.53

*1.01

1.01

Exceeded weekly or both daily and weekly drinking limits

1‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

4.18

0.78

5.76

1.36

3.11

0.89

*6.46

3.64

6.48

1.63

3.95

1.25

—

Alcohol abuse

2.32

0.52

2.76

0.92

2.03

0.59

*3.71

1.77

3.25

1.09

*2.16

0.83

—

Alcohol dependence

5.18

0.65

6.83

0.97

3.19

0.75

10.52

2.92

4.36

0.82

6.09

1.25

*1.60

0.70

Nicotine dependence

7.79

0.72

9.19

1.11

5.83

0.89

9.81

2.06

9.12

1.28

7.21

1.10

*2.98

1.27

Any drug use disorder

*0.30

0.12

*0.39

0.20

*0.20

0.12

*1.30

0.77

*0.30

0.18

*0.08

0.08

—

Any drug abuse

*0.31

0.12

*0.39

0.20

*0.21

0.12

*1.31

0.76

*0.29

0.18

*0.08

0.08

—

Any drug dependence

0.61

0.18

0.71

0.27

*0.48

0.21

*1.94

0.76

*0.60

0.32

*0.19

0.14

—

Any mood disorder

2.05

0.30

2.21

0.44

1.76

0.40

2.97

0.88

1.99

0.48

2.44

0.71

—

Major depressive disorder

1.23

0.24

1.21

0.34

1.25

0.36

1.30

0.53

1.30

0.37

1.55

0.62

—

Bipolar I

0.69

0.16

0.69

0.22

0.68

0.26

*1.32

0.54

*0.49

0.19

*0.84

0.30

—

Bipolar II

*0.18

0.08

*0.22

0.11

*0.12

0.08

*0.49

0.34

*0.12

0.08

*0.14

0.09

—

Any anxiety disorder

1.63

0.31

1.17

0.34

2.42

0.63

2.18

0.73

1.58

0.48

2.03

0.72

—

Any panic disorder

0.58

0.16

*0.36

0.16

0.93

0.31

*1.34

0.54

*0.39

0.21

*0.61

0.29

—

Panic without agoraphobia

0.51

0.15

*0.35

0.16

0.76

0.28

*1.01

0.46

*0.38

0.20

*0.59

0.28

—

Panic with agoraphobia

*0.05

0.04

—

*0.13

0.11

*0.30

0.24

—

Social phobia

*0.24

0.09

*0.21

0.12

*0.28

0.14

*0.29

0.20

*0.34

0.17

*0.16

0.16

—

Specific phobia

0.58

0.22

*0.54

0.25

*0.65

0.40

*0.19

0.19

*0.76

0.35

*0.78

0.51

—

Generalized anxiety

1.16

0.24

0.64

0.20

1.96

0.53

*0.95

0.50

1.55

0.48

1.11

0.36

*0.22

0.22

3‑year first iincidence

Alcohol use disorder

21.18

1.62

29.21

2.62

14.86

1.67

38.10

5.92

26.63

2.80

17.43

2.59

7.35

2.02

Alcohol abuse

19.50

1.50

27.50

2.40

13.18

1.58

32.48

4.54

23.24

2.71

15.65

2.28

7.55

2.09

Alcohol dependence

10.93

0.88

12.89

1.27

8.55

1.17

22.86

3.75

11.09

1.27

10.71

1.51

*2.17

0.84

Nicotine dependence

11.30

0.89

12.61

1.24

9.48

1.16

15.98

2.49

11.68

1.44

11.36

1.37

4.52

1.47

Any drug use disorder

3.49

0.46

4.61

0.70

2.01

0.46

10.95

2.16

3.81

0.77

1.57

0.44

—

Any drug abuse

3.37

0.45

4.40

0.68

2.02

0.46

10.77

2.15

3.52

0.72

1.57

0.44

—

Any drug dependence

2.05

0.38

2.69

0.61

1.14

0.31

5.20

1.20

2.73

0.77

*0.30

0.16

—

Any mood disorder

7.32

0.72

6.63

0.89

8.52

1.03

8.33

1.42

9.25

1.37

5.94

1.13

*2.85

1.01

Major depressive disorder

4.82

0.57

3.93

0.67

6.30

0.91

4.87

0.95

5.76

1.09

4.49

0.97

*2.11

0.87

Bipolar I

2.37

0.33

2.45

0.45

2.24

0.44

4.35

1.07

2.67

0.58

1.56

0.42

*0.44

0.43

Bipolar II

0.87

0.18

0.65

0.21

1.19

0.32

*1.11

0.56

1.11

0.33

*0.65

0.25

*0.21

0.21

Any anxiety disorder

6.88

0.59

5.45

0.69

9.25

1.06

8.14

1.54

7.40

0.96

7.32

1.14

*2.03

0.86

Any panic disorder

2.09

0.30

1.36

0.28

3.20

0.57

3.63

0.85

2.02

0.51

1.88

0.51

*0.42

0.42

Panic without agoraphobia

1.79

0.29

1.22

0.26

2.64

0.53

2.95

0.77

1.79

0.49

1.60

0.45

*0.42

0.41

Panic with agoraphobia

*0.25

0.09

*0.12

0.09

*0.45

0.17

*0.62

0.33

*0.18

0.10

*0.22

0.17

—

Social phobia

1.98

0.28

1.73

0.37

2.35

0.48

*1.85

0.73

2.47

0.46

1.72

0.53

*1.05

0.68

Specific phobia

2.15

0.32

1.54

0.37

3.12

0.60

3.10

1.01

2.71

0.55

1.56

0.56

*0.22

0.22

Generalized anxiety

3.48

0.43

2.69

0.52

4.70

0.75

3.43

0.97

4.01

0.74

3.55

0.73

*1.41

0.72

1Exceeding daily drinking limit: 5+ drinks for men and 4+ drinks for women on one or more occasions or the usual or largest ethanol intake of any beverage type greater than 4.5 drinks for men and greater than
3.5 drinks for women. Exceeding weekly drinking limit: on average more than 14 drinks per week for men and more than 7 drinks per week for women.

2Current drinker: 1 or more drinks in the past year.

*Fewer than 10 observations in the cell.

—Empty cell.

SOURCE: NIAAA 2001–2002 and 2004–2005 National Epidemiologic Surveys on Alcohol and Related Conditions.

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